Activision, I am disappointed! I just finished listening to Activision's first-quarter financial call and the company did not announced a release date for Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3. Instead, Activision head Bobby Kotick said the next Call of Duty initiative will be announced in "weeks" and will be accompanied by the biggest marketing campaign in the company's history. It will also be integrated with Project Beachhead, Activision's slightly mysterious digital content platform for Call of Duty.
I've also seen the huge "3" that is apparently featured in the next issue of UK's Official PlayStation Magazine (that's it, to the right), and read the rumors of a November 8 release date too. Putting all this together, I'm ready to make some predictions.
- Prediction 1: Modern Warfare 3 will be released in November for the 360, PS3 and PC. November 8, to be precise. I'm not going far out on a limb here: That's the second Tuesday in the month, and analogous to the release date of past Modern Warfare games. Every fall since 2003, a Call of Duty game has been released and it seems to be working out okay for Activision. Lately, Activision has been alternating between releasing a "numbered" game and a non-numbered game, this would be the year for a numbered game.
- Prediction 2: This release date information will be confirmed at E3 this year, between June 7 and 9. Kotick's statement about revealing more details in weeks leads me to believe this. It's not too out-there to speculate that Activision would make an announcement at the largest gaming show of the year.
- Prediction 3: You will have to pay for some aspects of multiplayer in Modern Warfare 3. According to Activision, Project Beachhead will be integrated into the next CoD game, which is presumed to be Modern Warfare 3. In the past, Activision has said that Project Beachhead will provide "premium, value added" content that is exclusive. According to industry analyst Michael Pachter and I, this means you'll be paying a fee to play Modern Warfare 3. How much you'll pay, and what you'll get for your subscription remains to be seen, but if I had to guess, I'd say some small fee (like $5 a month) will give you a lot of content -- maps, weapons, customization options and more. This will make it seem like a bargain and people will be happy to pay for it.
So what do you think of my predictions? Got any of your own?